如與美髮生貿易戰,中國真的會像紙老虎一樣崩潰嗎

The US has tried much worse with other countries much less integrated onto the world stage. Remember Cuba a small island where the US embargo lasted 50 years (?). Did Cuba fold? No. Cuba continued and created a relatively successful socialist nation with a medical system for all people high literacy rates and according to the UN developed a high Human Development Index (HDI) in line with much More advanced countries.

美國越是同其他國家交惡，就越難站在世界大國之巔。想想古巴，一個小島國，美國對其實施貿易禁令長達50年，古巴完了嗎？沒有。古巴仍舊在發展，並且創造了一個相對成功的社會主義國家，擁有全民醫療體系，公民保持了高識字率，按照聯合國開發的高人類發展指數的標準來看，古巴和很多發達國家一個水平線上。

Do we know Russia? Has all the western imposed sanctions against Russia made it go away? Does Russia continue to exert power in the Middle East? What US intelligence believe about Russia and the presidential election?

大家知道俄羅斯吧？是不是所有西方國家都對俄羅斯實施貿易制裁？俄羅斯是不是還繼續掌控中東地區？美國情報機關還不是認爲俄羅斯和美國總統大選有貓膩？

The worst case scenario of a trade war will be a worldwide recession probably in line with the recession of 2008. China contributes more to world GDP growth then the combined growth by the US EU and Japan.

貿易戰最壞的記過就是全球經濟衰退，可能類似2008年世界金融危機那樣的衰退。中國對世界GDP增長的貢獻高於美國、歐盟和日本的增長之和。

China is the worlds biggest car market by volume. Most car manufactures operate plants in China. GM sells more cars in China then in the US. It is a critical market for VW Audi Mercedes among foreign car manufacturers.

從數量上來說，中國擁有全球最大的汽車市場。大部分汽車生產商在中國設廠。在中國，通用汽車賣的汽車比在美國多。在國外汽車製造商比如大衆、奧迪、奔馳看來，中國也是一個重要市場。