外媒評論中國二胎政策不是權宜之計

Paris (AFP) - The end of China's one-child-per-couple limit last year will not provide the population boost sought by Chinese leaders in the near term, according to a study released Friday.

巴黎（法新社）——週五公佈的一項研究發現，去年中國一胎政策的終結將無法實現中國領導人在短期內增加人口的目標。

Any potential benefits the new "two-child" rule might have for the nation's shrinking workforce and rapidly ageing population will not be felt for at least two decades, the study concluded.

這項研究得出結論稱，新的二胎政策對該國縮減的勞動力以及快速增加的老齡化人口所可能產生的好處至少不會在未來20年內被感覺到。

China is faced with deep demographic challenges thanks to the strict -- and sometimes brutal -- enforcement of its single child policy, introduced in 1979 at the end of the Mao Zedong era.

中國真面臨嚴重的人口挑戰忙，這主要歸咎於毛澤東時代終結的1979年起中國實行了嚴格有時候甚至是殘忍的一胎化政策。

The new rules will "allow most people to have their desired number of children and help address the skewed sex ratio," said Therese Hesketh, a researcher at University College London and co-author of the study, published in The Lancet.

新的政策將“允許大部分人生下自己想要的孩子數量，並幫忙解決扭曲的性別比例，”倫敦大學學院研究員兼該研究的合作者Therese Hesketh如是說，該研究發佈在了《柳葉刀》雜誌上。

The two-child limit will also reduce the number of abortions of unapproved pregnancies, and could eliminate the problem of unregistered children, she said in a statement.

二孩政策也將減少非認可懷孕的墮胎數量，也能消除未註冊孩子問題，她在一份聲明中說道。

"But the effect on population ageing and the shrinking workforce will take longer to be felt."

“但是對人口老齡化以及勞動力人口下降的影響將沒有那麼快顯現。”

China has 220 million people 60 or older, accounting for over 16 percent of its total population, the government said in July.

中國的60歲及以上人口數量達到了2.2億，相當於總人口的16%，中國政府7月份說道。

The country's workforce is on track to decline by as much as 23 percent by 2050.

中國勞動力到2050年將減少23%。