第三季《紙牌屋》最有可能領便當的五個角色

Netflix’s House of Cards is a wonderful treat for fans of political intrigue as well as fans of Kevin Spacey’s syrupy southern accent. And, while the series’ body count is certainly nothing compared to that of Game of Thrones, for example, the producers have not been shy about offing central characters.

Netflix公司的《紙牌屋》可謂是對政治陰謀愛好者和凱文·史派西的南部口音粉的盛情款待。雖然此劇的死亡人數顯然不能和《權利的遊戲》之類的劇集相提並論，但是編劇對於殺死主要角色卻完全沒有在手軟。

With this in mind, I've listed those most likely to be murdered in House of Cards season 3, which should find its way to Netflix around January 2015. While it’s extremely unlikely that all of these characters will be killed off, all of these characters should be a little bit apprehensive about hanging out on subway platforms if you know what I mean.

據此，我列出了第三季《紙牌屋》最有可能領便當的人，而Netflix公司將在2015年1月放出第三季的劇集。雖然絕對不可能說這些角色統統被殺，但是他們也都應該小心點遠離地鐵站臺邊——如果懂我在說什麼。

Raymond Tusk – There are certainly very few people who Frank Underwood would rather see six-feet-under than Tusk, his chief rival for President Walker’s loyalties. However, despite their antagonistic past, by the end of Season 2 Underwood and Tusk are no longer at cross purposes. Let’s face it – Underwood is a cold-hearted sociopath, but not a psychopath. He took no joy in murdering Peter Russo or Zoe Barnes. And, if he was prone to murdering people out of his own emotional responses rather than for political gain he would have murdered General Dalton McGinnis long before his wife had a chance to ruin the General’s career.

弗蘭克·安德伍德難得會有如此想置之於“六尺之下”的人，與他爭奪沃克總統忠心的主要對手塔斯克便屬其中之首。但是除去他們的敵對過往，第二季結束的時候安德伍德與塔斯克已經沒有如此針鋒相對了。讓我們面對現實——安德伍德是一個冷血的反社會者，但他不是一個神經病。他在殺死皮特·羅素和佐伊·巴恩斯的時候並不享受。而且如果他並不是爲了政治目的而是管不住個人情緒而殺人的話，他早該在他妻子克萊爾找到機會毀掉爾頓·麥金尼斯將軍的事業之前就殺死將軍了。

Claire Underwood – Claire came very close to making this list. I had a scenario in my head that Frank could take a page out of the playbook of “The Smiler” Gary Callahan (the villainous politician from Warren Ellis’ fantastic comic Transmetropolitan) and have his wife murdered in order to earn public sympathy and to distract from whatever scandals are threatening his public standing. In the end though, I decided that this was unlikely since Frank seems to have genuine affection for Claire (regardless of how odd their relationship may be). Also, though the world of House of Cards is one where a Vice President can shake off his security detail and go murder a woman in a subway it does strain credibility that Frank could have his wife murdered. Still…

克萊爾差一點就要入選此榜單了。在看劇的時候我設想了弗蘭克借用加里·卡拉漢（沃倫·埃利斯的喜劇《Transmetropolitan》中的邪惡政客）的殺妻劇本來獲得公衆的同情並且轉移由醜聞而帶來的公衆形象的威脅。但最後我考慮到弗蘭克對克萊爾還是有真感情的（不管他們的關係有多奇怪），而且雖然在《紙牌屋》這樣的劇中，一個副總統可以甩掉他的保安特遣隊在地鐵站謀殺一個女人，但讓弗蘭克謀殺他的妻子這也不太可行。

5. Remy Danton/Jackie Sharp – I put Remy and Jackie together in one slot for a very simple reason – their personal relationship will likely cause the downfall of one or both of them in one way or another. While they each appear to view the relationship differently (Remy’s loyalty to Sharp makes him apprehensive about following his boss’s orders to discredit her – Jackie is offended that Remy didn’t reveal professional information despite insisting that they keep things “professional”), their relationship is a very exploitable weakness in a political landscape populated with vicious predators like Frank Underwood. I can see something very bad happening to one of them to send a message to the other.

把雷米·丹頓和傑姬·夏普放在一起原因很簡單，因爲他們的私人關係很有可能會以某種方式害死他們自己和對方。他們對兩人關係的看法並不相同（雷米對夏普的感情使他無法服從領導的指示而背叛她，而傑姬雖然想要“專業”地對待感情和生活卻因爲雷米沒有向他透露專業的信息而感到冒犯），在充滿了像弗蘭克·安德伍德這樣的邪惡捕食者的政治背景下，雷米和傑姬的關係是非常容易被人利用的弱點。我可以預見爲了警告另一個人，他們中的一個將會遭遇不測。

4. Edward Meechum – Frank’s bodyguard Meechum is a target from multiple angles. On one hand, he’s very dedicated to the Underwoods, having become something of a trusted friend beyond simply being an employee after Frank saves his job. That dedication means that if someone tries to take a shot at Frank – and he has made many enemies over the course of the series – there’s a good chance Meechum will take the bullet. His other problem is that one magical evening, Frank, Claire and Meechum enjoyed a devil’s threesome. If Ed ever decides to make that public (unlikely given his loyalty, but who knows), Frank may take drastic means to ensure that he’s not outed as the first bisexual president in US history.

弗蘭克的貼身保鏢密查姆從很多角度來看都是個靶子。從一方面看，他對弗蘭克十分忠心，在弗蘭克保住他的工作後，他已經不只是弗蘭克的僱員了，而變成了一個可以信任的朋友。這樣的忠心也意味着如果有人想要加害於弗蘭克——而弗蘭克在這兩季中確實樹敵不少——密查姆很有可能會爲他擋子彈。另外一個方面，在一個奇幻的夜晚，弗蘭克，克萊爾和密查姆來了個三人行。密查姆一旦想要把這件事公諸於衆，弗蘭克爲了不至於變成美國曆史上第一個雙性戀總統一定會採取非常手段。

3. Rachel Posner – Former prostitute Rachel was swept away by Frank’s Chief of Staff, Doug Stamper, to keep prying eyes from connecting dots between Frank and Peter Russo. Last we saw Rachel she was repeatedly introducing a rock to Stamper’s face. With Doug likely dead (his eye twitched when we saw his body, which could be a clue or it could have been unintentional), Rachel is now truly on the run. If caught, her knowledge could become public. For that reason, Frank may make it a priority to find her and silence her permanently.

爲防窺探之眼發現弗蘭克與羅素之間的關係，弗蘭克的幕僚長道格·斯坦普“擺平”了之前是應召女的瑞秋。我們最後看到瑞秋的時候她用石頭砸向了道格的臉，而道格多半是死了（我們看到他屍體的時候他的眼睛在抽動，這有可能是一個線索，也有可能是無意的），瑞秋現在正在逃。如果被抓住了，她的事很有可能被公諸於衆，因此弗蘭克有可能會先找到她並使她永久消聲。

2. Gavin Orsay – Computer hacker Gavin possesses one of the most dangerous things in the world of House of Cards: information. Working for the FBI to entrap Lucas, Gavin certainly learned enough about the case that Lucas was trying to put together. But now, thanks to the sting, Gavin has access to the AT&T database. In other words, Gavin is likely the only person in the world capable of exposing the truth of the deaths of Peter Russo and Zoe Barnes. And that’s a dangerous position to be in.

電腦黑客加文掌握了《紙牌屋》世界中最危險的東西之一：信息。加文爲FBI工作而陷害了盧卡斯，爲此他也掌握了盧卡斯想要組裝的信息。而現在加文黑進了AT&T的信息庫，也就是說，加文可能是世界上唯一一個可以將皮特·羅素和佐伊·巴恩斯的死亡真相公諸於世的人，這必定是一個危險的境地。

1.5 Cashew – Gavin’s pet guinea pig has been threatened before. I have no evidence for this, but I can’t shake the feeling that someone’s going to follow through on the threat. It’s an easy plot device to drive Gavin into doing something extreme.

加文的寵物豚鼠——腰果之前就收到過威脅。雖然我沒有證據，但是能感覺到有人會繼續這個威脅。它是讓加文做極端事件的非常容易利用的工具。

1. Frank Underwood – The very moment that Frank was sworn in as the Vice-President, I had a fair idea of how the series would progress: “if he gets sworn in as VP at the end of the first season, then he probably becomes President at the end of the second season and the third season will end with him either going to jail or being murdered.” So far, it’s on track. Frank has made so many enemies over the course of the series. Every house of cards eventually falls, and when it does Frank will end up being the one buried by it.

弗蘭克剛宣誓成爲副總統的時候，對於這個劇集的走向我就有一個念頭：“如果他在第一季結尾的時候宣誓成爲副總統，那麼他很有可能在第二季結尾成爲總統，然後在第三季結尾，他很有可能不是進了監獄就是被殺了。”到目前爲止我的推理都還是準確的。弗蘭克在劇中樹立了諸多敵人，而每一個用紙牌搭起來的屋子最後都會倒塌，這一座紙牌屋倒下時，弗蘭克終將會被埋在下面。