擺爛很妥當?變革中的年選秀大會

The race for consensus No. 1 overall NBA draft prospect Zion Williamson is on. But this tankathon will be different from that of past seasons.

狀元大熱蔡恩-威廉森爭奪戰仍在上演。但是，這賽季的擺爛將和以往不同了。

This is the first year under the lottery reform rules passed in September 2017 — More of an incremental step to deter blatant tanking than a complete overhaul. Every loss at the bottom of the standings is now less valuable.

今年將是2017年9月通過的選秀改革規則實行的第一年。此次改革與其說是徹底整改，不如說是在原有基礎上新增了一步，以此來抑制公然擺爛。對排名墊底的球隊來說，輸球不再那麼重要了。

The NBA's board of governors voted to pass legislationon draft lottery reform and guidelines for the resting of healthy players in the regular season.

NBA董事會投票通過了選秀改革法，以及健康球員在常規賽輪休的指導方針。

The NBA draft lottery reform passed with a 28-1-1 vote, with Oklahoma City voting against and Dallas abstaining. The NBA needed 23 of 30 teams — a three-quarters majority — to pass the legislation.

最終，NBA30支球隊中有28支球隊投票贊成選秀改革，剩下的兩支球隊中，雷霆隊投了反對票，獨行俠隊棄權。NBA需要獲得四分之三的投票，即30支球隊中至少23支球隊的贊成才能通過該法規。

The lottery reform changes will be instituted for the 2019 NBA draft.

選秀改革將於2019NBA選秀大會上正式實行。

Projecting the strength of any draft is challenging, but this is an interesting year to start having identical odds for the No. 1 pick and a top-four selection among the worst teams.

預測任何一個順位的實力都是非常困難的，但是今年的情況會很有趣，因爲從今年開始，聯盟墊底的三支球隊抽取狀元籤和前四順位的概率都是一樣的。

Despite a lingering injury, Williamson is a runaway No. 1 pick, and the second tier of prospects behind him goes about three deep, including RJ Barrett, Ja Morant and Cam Reddish.

儘管傷病尚未痊癒，但蔡恩-威廉森仍是狀元籤大熱。在他身後，選秀前景最好的三位球員分別是RJ-巴雷特，賈-莫蘭特以及卡梅隆-雷迪什。

ESPN draft analyst Jonathan Givony said on last week's Woj Pod that teams have more questions about the prospects in the Nos. 5-10 range.

上週，ESPN選秀分析師喬納森-基沃尼在Woj Pod上說，NBA球隊在5-10號簽上的抉擇會更難一些。

The Phoenix Suns (17.5 projected wins), New York Knicks (18.6) and Cleveland Cavaliers (19.3) have a decent lead on earning those coveted top-three spots and an equal chance at Williamson, per BPI. (FiveThirtyEight projects a similar finish.)

根據BPI指數，菲尼克斯太陽隊（預計獲得17.5個勝場），紐約尼克斯隊（預計獲得18.6個勝場）以及克利夫蘭騎士隊（預計獲得19.3個勝場）抽取前三順位的可能性最大，並且有同等機率得到威廉森。（FiveThirtyEight網站給出的預測大致相同。）

The Chicago Bulls (23.1) and Atlanta Hawks (26.2) aren't out of this race, but they have some ground to make up.

芝加哥公牛隊（預計獲得23.1個勝場）和亞特蘭大老鷹隊（預計獲得26.2個勝場）尚未退出爭奪戰，但他們有一些需要改進的地方。

And remember: We're talking about much smaller differences in lottery odds between slots. If the Bulls finish fourth, they have a 12.5 percent chance at No. 1 and a 48.1 percent chance at a top-four pick.

而且，記住我們所說的：球隊抽取高順位的概率差大大降低了。如果公牛隊在賽季結束時的戰績排名倒數第四，那麼他們抽到狀元籤的概率爲12.5%，抽取前四順位的概率爲48.1%。

If they move up to third, those odds bump up by only 1.5 and 4.0 percentage points, respectively.

如果他們降至倒數第三，那麼這兩項概率只會分別提升1.5%和4.0%。

"There aren't people like him athletically," Krzyzewski said. "His body has always responded instinctively to what his mind and heart feel. We've seen it. You can't put him out there at any less than (100 percent)."

老K教練說：“他的運動能力是獨一無二的。他的身體總是能對他的想法做出本能反應。這一點我們都看到了”。不管什麼時候，他都能夠百分之百的投入。

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