傳言不是空穴來風 猜猜蘋果iWatch到底什麼樣

As if WWDC didn’t give the Apple AAPL -0.28% bloggers enough to write about, Friday brought a fresh round of rumors about what everybody is calling the iWatch.

似乎是因爲蘋果（Apple）的全球開發者大會沒能爲關注蘋果的博客寫手們提供足夠的寫作素材，於是上週五，關於人們口中的蘋果iWatch又出現了新的傳聞。

By Saturday, Techmeme had collected 68 stories on the topic. You can ignore 65 of them. They’re all based on the same three sources:

到上週六，美國科技博客聚合網站Techmeme已收集到68篇相關博文。不過，其中65篇都可以忽略，因爲它們的依據都是三個共同的來源：

1. Nikkei Asian Review‘s Yuichiro Kanematsu, who reported Friday, citing an unnamed parts manufacturer, that the device will likely use a curved touchscreen, read e-mail and collect such health-related data as calorie consumption, sleep activity, blood glucose and blood oxygen levels. “It is expected to hit the market in October,” he wrote, citing no source whatsoever, adding that Apple has ordered up enough parts to build 3-5 million a month.

1、《日經亞洲評論》（Nikkei Asian Review）的兼鬆雄一郎。上週五，兼鬆雄一郎援引匿名零件製造商的消息報道稱，iWatch設備可能採用曲面觸摸屏、能閱讀電子郵件並收集卡路里消耗、睡眠活動、血糖和血液含氧量等與健康有關的數據。兼鬆雄一郎自說自話地寫道：“這款設備預計今年十月就會投放市場。” 他補充道，蘋果公司已經訂購的配件數量足夠每月組裝300-500萬塊iWatch。

2. Re/Code‘s John Paczkowski, citing people familiar with Apple’s plans, gave weak support to the October date. His guys are saying that Apple “hopes to schedule a special event that month.” Then Paczkowski added a caveat: “Could things change between now and fall? That’s certainly possible.” “Whatever Nikkei said about the iWatch earlier today, I don’t care,” tweeted Stefan Constantine, who apparently missed the caveat. “When @JohnPaczkowski says October, it’s October.”

2、科技網站Re/Code的約翰o帕克茲沃斯基。帕克茲沃斯基援引知情人士的消息，對蘋果十月發佈iWatch的說法提供了些許支持。帕克茲沃斯基的消息源稱，蘋果希望在十月安排一場特別活動。隨後，帕克茲沃斯基警告稱：“秋季到來之前情況有沒有可能發生變化？當然有可能。”不過，斯坦芬o康斯坦丁顯然沒注意到帕克茲沃斯基的上述表態。康斯坦丁在Twitter發消息稱：“《日經》今天早些時候關於iWatch的報道，我根本不在乎。但假如約翰o帕克茲沃斯基說了是十月發佈，那肯定錯不了。”

3. Cantor Fitzgerald‘s Brian White, citing one unnamed tech supply chain company, told clients Friday that he expects the watch to be unveiled in September, not October, and only as a companion to an iPhone 6. “Initial production of certain ‘iWatch’ components is scheduled to begin later this month and there are plans for a sharp acceleration into fall,” he wrote, adding that he expects several versions with a starting price in the $199-229 range.

3、金融服務公司Cantor Fitzgerald的布萊恩o懷特。上週五，懷特援引匿名高科技供應鏈公司的消息告訴客戶，他預計iWatch將在九月、而不是十月發佈，並且只是作爲iPhone 6的伴侶。懷特寫道：“iWatch部分部件的初期生產預定於本月晚些時候開始，並計劃在秋天前大大加速。”他補充道，預計將推出多個版本的iWatch，起步價在199-229美元。

Where there’s this much smoke, there’s probably some fire. I have nothing to add in terms of timing, price or production, but I’ve been watching this story long enough to get some sense of what we’re likely to see and what we’re not.

這麼多傳聞恐怕不是空穴來風。關於iWatch的上市時間、定價以及生產情況，我沒什麼可補充的。但我關注這件事已經很長時間了，種種消息是真是假，我心裏大致有些譜。

Whatever it is, it’s not going to look the contraption pictured above: a pulse oximeter that plugs into an oversize watch. Apple’s solution will be elegant and wireless.

不管怎樣，iWatch絕對不會是上圖中那個樣子：脈搏血氧儀接入大號手錶中。蘋果給出的解決方案將是外形精緻的無線設備。

Apple will not be manufacturing pulse oximeters, glucose sticks, blood pressure monitors or any of those periperals. Apple needs partners, not competitors.

蘋果不會生產脈搏血氧儀、血糖棒、血壓計或任何外設。蘋果需要的是合作伙伴，而不是競爭對手。

The primary market will be hospitals, not health clubs. The killer app is more likely to be one that warns a patient — and his doctor — that he’s about to have a heart attack.

iWatch的主要市場將是醫院，而不是健身俱樂部。它的殺手級應用更可能是警告病人——及其醫生——他即將心臟病發作的一款應用。

“The whole sensor field is going to explode,” Tim Cook said last year. Apple telegraphed its plans at Monday’s WWDC keynote when it unveiled HealthKit and announced a partnership with the Mayo Clinic, which is already using remote sensors to track their patients’ vital signs after they leave the hospital.

蒂姆o庫克去年就曾表示：“整個傳感器領域將出現爆炸式增長。”在上週一的全球開發者大會主題演講中，蘋果透露了自己的計劃，發佈了HealthKit平臺，還宣佈與著名醫療機構梅奧診所（Mayo Clinic）合作。這家診所已經在使用遠程傳感器，在病人出院後繼續跟蹤他們的生命體徵。